Supercharging Australian climate science: Australia’s Earth system model gets revamped for a clearer view of our future and past climate.

December 10, 2024

In short: Australia’s climate simulator (ACCESS-NRI) upgraded the ACCESS Earth system model to make it easier to use, ensuring reliable results and tailoring the code to the researcher needs.  This sophisticated model provides a virtual laboratory for exploring Earth’s complex systems and has been widely used by the Australian climate research community, contributing to our understanding of the impacts of climate change on people and ecosystems. 

 

Just as astronomers use powerful telescopes to peer into the vast expanse of the universe, climate scientists use sophisticated climate models to gaze into the future and look back into the distant past, simulating the complex interactions that shape our planet’s climate. 

An Earth system model (ESM) is a type of climate model that combines components of the Earth’s system: the atmosphere, oceans, land, ice, and biogeochemical cycles, to simulate interactions and feedback processes that influence global and regional climates.  

Developed by CSIRO, the ACCESS Earth System Model 1.5 (ACCESS-EM1.5) has been heavily used by the research community in many areas, both globally and in Australia as a tool for understanding and projecting climate change with a unique Australian focus. 

Now, Australia’s climate simulator (ACCESS-NRI) has improved this essential climate research infrastructure. 

“The model now uses the ACCESS-NRI software pipeline and best practices including continuous integration, deployment and testing to ensure reliable results and make it easy for researchers to use,” says Dr Aidan Heerdegen, team leader of the ACCESS-NRI Model Release team. 

“The build pipeline creates a unique fingerprint that identifies all the code and software used, providing essential provenance information, and so that it can be reliably built again,” says Dr Heerdegen. 

CSIRO’s climate scientist Dr Tilo Ziehn, lead developer of the ESM1.5 model, points out that “the latest release of ESM1.5, as well as the training and technical support provided by the ACCESS-NRI has been a big game changer for the climate research community. It has allowed researchers to run the model themselves, and now we have a common approach on how to set up the model with different configurations. The infrastructure and the support that comes from the ACCESS-NRI enable everything that we do, including the development of the next version of the model, ESM1.6.” 

ESM1.5 has an impressive user record ranging from researchers using it to understand climate variability and drivers, future emission pathways, consequences of meeting or failing to meet Paris agreement targets and changes in natural carbon sinks to the role Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and El Nino Southern oscillation (ENSO), as well as to educate the next generation of climate scientists. 

“ESM1.5 is crucial for Australian researchers as it give us the ability to focus on the regions that are of interest to us and to address the kind of research and policy questions that are important to us. We know that ACCESS-ESM1.5 performs very strongly over the Southern Ocean and for terrestrial carbon cycle, compared to other models. The model is also unique in that it includes phosphorus limitation, which could be an important limiting factor for plant growth and carbon uptake in nutrient-poor areas like the Australian continent,” says Dr Ziehn. 

Image 1

ESM1.5 has also been used by the paleoclimate community to understand the climate of the Earth from thousands to millions of years ago. Paleoclimates provide a unique perspective on climate change and by allowing researchers to test and improve climate models, ensuring they can accurately simulate past climate conditions and project future scenarios. The ACCESS-NRI team has included some new features in this release that makes their work easier, faster and more precise. 

“We designed preset model configurations for the paleoclimate community because they run the model for thousands of years, producing an incredible amount of data. It can take approximately 2 months to run 1000 years of simulations continuously. These presets allow the researcher to more easily choose which data they want to keep or discard, accelerating the process of setting up an experiment,” says ACCESS-NRI research software engineer Spencer Wong, who developed this new feature. 

“This release also includes a way to change the degree of the tilt of the Earth’s axis, also called orbital parameters. We have added a “time dial” into the model, so researchers can match the right value of the orbital tilt at different past climates”, he says.  

Image 2

Dr David Hutchinson, a paleoclimate researcher from the University of New South Wales and user of the models says that “We know the tilt of the Earth plays a critical role in shaping the planet’s climate as it affects the distribution of solar radiation between the equator and the poles. It has been a key driver of the ice-ages in the last one to two million years.  

“Previously, it was quite difficult for us to modify this variable in the model’s code. This new feature of the model enables us to change the orbital parameters ourselves, which has been on the wish-list of the paleoclimate community for a long time,” he says.   

ESM1.5 has also been used to contribute to many multi-model studies and on international collaborations like the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP). “I have used ESM1.5 as one of 16 models around the world, to compare its performance and outputs to other climate models,” says Dr Nicola Maher, a researcher from the ARC Centre of Excellence for Weather of the 21st Century. “I think is extremely important to have an Australian model, so we can further improve the focus on the region and answer the questions that are important for us”, she says. 

The importance of ESM1.5 in helping us navigate the challenges posed by a changing climate in Australia and in our region can’t be overstated. Maintaining and improving this essential software infrastructure and enabling it to evolve according with researchers’ needs is critical to better understand and predict climate change.

Image captions: Image 1.screenshot of the settings researchers have to change to control output data in ESM1.5 and the reason to create the output presents to make it easier for researchers to control them and Image 2. Identical Pre-industrial simulations surface temperature visualisation with the original version (left) and updated version (right) Image credits: Spencer Wong, ACCESS-NRI. 


Interested in running ACCESS-ESM1.5?  You can find our ESM1.5 User Guide here.    

Release information can be found on our ACCESS Hive Forum here. 

Need support? See the ACCESS Help and Support topic for details on how to get help from our team!  

ACCESS-NRI modelling relies on computational and data resources from high-performance supercomputers operated by Australia’s National Computational Infrastructure (NCI) located at The Australian National University

ACCESS-NRI and NCI are enabled by the Australian Government, Department of Education, through the National Collaborative Research Infrastructure Strategy (NCRIS). 

 

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